Saturday, July 26, 2008

Emotion vs. Logic

Anyone who's read this blog or had a political discussion with me knows that I believe the difference between conservatism and liberalism is much more than a difference of opinion. This isn't like picking oatmeal raisin or chocolate chip, or rooting for BYU over Utah. This country is being pulled in two very different directions. One is right, the other wrong. Conservatism is desperately trying to preserve the strengths of this country, while unchecked liberalism would surely destroy it. Good vs. bad; it's that simple. Overeacting you might ask? Well this wouldn't be the first time in history that a democracy has slowly eroded away to the sublte onslaught of a dangerous ideology.

Some might argue there's always two sides to every story, that liberals make alot of great points, and they're not weakening the country, only changing it for the better (change is the word of the year after all). I wish I was overreacting, but in short the liberals are dead wrong on basically every major issue. The fact is, virtually all of their key arguments can be refuted, or exposed as just plain whacko with even the slightest research and/or context. How their ridiculous, harmful ideas gain, much less hold any ground at all is because they all have one powerful tool behind them.....emotional "surface" logic. For example, when I was younger my parents taught me about "urban legends." In particular, they explained how people were concerned because it was "well known" that children are occasionally kidnapped from Disneyland entrance lines because the large crowds and distracted parents created the perfect setting for an abduction! They laughed when they explained to me that a little research revealed this had never actually happened. It fit the criteria for surface logic perfectly because it had two key ingredients: 1) It "made sense" and 2) it played on our emotions (in this case fear). Similarly, it doesn't matter that liberals have no actual facts to back up their arguments (like "banning guns will make us safer"); if you have an emotional pitch, and you repeat it loud enough and long enough, it becomes true in the minds of the listeners.

It's perfectly natural to form an initial opinion when we hear one's viewpoint on something we were previously clueless about. That's a great start on the journey to the truth, as long as we don't stop there. As Americans, we have got to study these major issues with a little more effort. For crying out loud Shell and I spent hours researching a future vacation, or a possible furniture purchase, can we not do the same for much more important things? We owe it to ourselves and our fellow Americans to make truly informed decisions, whether on issues or the candidates themselves. If we're truly educated on such things as Anwar, the deficit, nuclear power, Iran, and above all the CONSTITUTION, then harmful politicians and ideologies can be exposed and held accountable. To explain the harm of surface logic, let me site a non political example from a con artist who operates a web sight on "strengthing your eyes through exercises." Essentially the site promises to cure you of your dependence on glasses if you buy their instructional video, and perform the included eye exercises daily. Their logic goes like this: "when other muscles of your body are weak, you exercise them to make them strong again, so why are the eye muscles any different?" Ooohhh, good point, i'll take 3 please! Without getting into too much detail, that argument is crap because refractive error involves no muscle at all, but
the curvature of your cornea. Anyway, they followed their point with many token testimonials and finally the ever reassuring money back guarantee. It's another scam like millions of others, but it'll probably sell big because it has that right touch of surface logic, an emotional "take charge of your life" appeal, and above all a bet that you won't do your homework! This is the essence of basically the entire liberal platform. To make my case, I will cite several examples below in a myth/reality format. Hopefully you will see for yourself where a little ol' forgotten thing I like to call the truth actually takes you.



MYTH: You're paying too much for gas because greedy Big Oil made ridiculously high profits!
(combine this with another related Myth: profit is evil!)



FACT: Big Oil profits are actually not that high taken in context, the profits they did make are a good thing for Americans, but most relevant to the argument, they have almost nothing to do with the high price of gas.


Hillary, Obama....all the liberals tell us that Oil companies make "too much" money. Yep, all these fat cats swimming in piles of money while the average American is left out in the cold.......
Well, big oil did make alot of money last year...ALOT. There's your crucial stat for surface logic. However, a little deeper digging reveals that they spent alot of money too. The amount of money it takes to obtain leases, get through red tape, drill, refine, and distribute the product is mind boggling. You can't accurately judge a company by looking at just one statistic. The more important stat is the profit margin, and it's actually only about 8 or 9 percent (averaging several sources). That's less than most food corporations like McDonald's, and way less than tech/internet big wigs like Google. Oh, and who do you think the majority of the profit goes to? Not the "big-wigs" (though they do make a hefty salary). Nope, the majority of a corporations profits go to middle-class shareholders...wait, I thought they were out in the cold??Yes, the profits trickly down to those meesly people wh0, ya know....INVEST! Great concept really. Instead of relying on uncle sam and good ol' social security, the average American can literally become PART owner in a major corporation and share the wealth.

Yet another reason profit for our American oil companies is good is it provides incentive for competive capitalism in a market that's CRUCIAL for all of us. Oil from the middle east is bad. If you care at all about national security, oil from American companies might be worth looking into. Now if you want oil, electronics, medicine, Big Macs, or any product to be of sufficient quality and price, you have to allow incentives for people to provide those things in the first place. Let's take Johnny high school grad for instance. Let's say Johnny works at Burgerland. I guarantee you he isn't going to step it up, bust his butt for years in school to earn his MBA, take a risk in opening up a small business like an even better burger joint, all to earn what he would have if he'd stayed at Burgerland and became assistant manager. What if, after growing his business to the point where he's hired (i.e. provided jobs to) others so he can cut back on his own workload and enjoy some hard earned wealth, the government cried foul and said Johnny was just greedy to take make the profits he did, because the price of fries was too high? (Never mind that the same government put rules and regs in place for the past few decades banning the planting of potatoes)! My point is, profit is healthy because it provides incentive for strong competition and entrepreneurship, for companies to take risks and grow, providing jobs to employees and product to consumers.


Finally, it doesn't take Grisom from CSI to find that Big Oil is not the real culprit in the crime of high gas prices. Here's a hint, the guilty party rhymes with the US schmuverment. First off, oil is traded worldwide in US dollars, so when the dollar weakens for many reasons like our massive deficits and the overprinting by the federal reserve, it has a strong inverse relationship to the price of oil.

But probably most profound, and frankly a concept anyone with basic knowledge of ecomonomics should understand, is supply and demand. China & India for instance, have seen their demand for oil skyrocket in the last few years with no signs of slowing down. And, as explained by the ficticous french fry example, our government has created all these ridiculous bans to stop US production, hense supply has not risen to meet that demand, and thus you have the perfect recipe for a price increase. Which leads us perfectly into the next myth:




MYTH: Drilling in ANWR is harmful to the environment and won't help our energy crisis. (but inflating your tires will help apparently).



TRUTH: Drilling in ANWR will have about zero impact on the environment and could make a huge dent in our dependence on foreign oil. I will summarize the key facts, but a recent article did a much better job than I can. Take a second and google "truth about heritage foundation ANWR foundry" But here's the deal. ANWR is a piece of federal land in northern Alaska a whopping 19 million acres in size, but the proposed drilling area is only 2000 acres of than, and while much of ANWR is breathtakingly beautiful, the tiny section for the proposed drilling site is a barren, unattractive section just down the coast from an existing drill sight called Prudoe Bay. We've been drilling in Prudoe bay for years, and not only has the site provided a sweet haul of oil, it's actually often surrounded by wildlife. In fact they often like to use the platforms for shelter. The estimated amount of oil at the proposed site is huge, think motherload folks, and the caribou will still have plenty of land to roam in. If it has such huge potential with minimal environmental impact, why are environmentalists so successful at blocking the drilling? They're the masters of emotion and surface logic, able to pervade an argument with almost zero facts or substance behind it. It's how they've convinced many that a bogus theory like global warming is actually real. Let me use a hypothetical parrallel to help explain how these environmental groups work. Since many who might read this are familiar with Utah; let's say you see a message from an environmental group showing the beautiful Wasatch mountains. The camera pans across a snowcapped Mt. Olympus, and then accross Eden and Park City, (sweet, classical music) a voice begins warmly "Utah, a majestic land, a precious land" Then the music changes...."but it could all go away"...the voice continues in that famous deep, serious tone: "Big Oil wants to drill in beautiful Utah, filling the landscape with Oil rigs...and just think what will happen to the seagulls?? (music straight out of a horror/slasher flick fades out).... Meanwhile, the oil companies scratch their heads because the facts paint a drastically different picture. They were actually planning to drill an area the size of about 10 football fields out on the south end of Antelope Island in the Great Salt Lake! Furthermore, they already have a drill site close by on the north end of the island that's been a jackpot for years. No mountains or seagulls threatened...large increase in oil production..everyone's a winner! That fictional analogy pretty much describes the true situation in the ANWR. Now this isn't the magic solution to our entire energy crisis. A MUCH more comprehensive strategy is needed. Nuclear, coal to oil, and of course technologies that reduce our dependence on oil overall are all key pieces to the solution; but in the meantime...drill away.

MYTH: But the oil industry, and the auto industry, pretty much every industry...oh, and you for existing and exhaling CO2, are all ruining the planet, killing off the Polar bears and causing Global Warming!

TRUTH: Industry does have it's faults, and any company that is environmentally irresponsible should be exposed. But by and large most are environmentally responsible (their reputation is on the line after all), but these same "evil" industries are what provides a huge amount of our quality of life! Talk about biting the hand that feeds you for crying out loud. American industry has been a huge blessing to the whole world. We gave 'em the car, the plane, television, and thanks to Al Gore, even the internet! They provide millions of jobs to the middle class, and so like it or not liberals their fate is tied to the average Americans pretty tighty... But the polar bears are dying! I love this one, in fact the Bush Administration even put polar bears on the endangered species list. But the truth is, polar bear populations have been growing for years! Thankfully good people are fighting this insanity. The governor of Alaska actually sued the federal government to have polar bears removed from the endangered list because having a species on the list when it's not even close to endangered could be used for deceitful purposes by say......oh, I dunno...those environmentalists who are just occasionally known for distorting facts to push their agenda. Which leads me perfectly into the final part of this myth trio...global warming. In short, global warming is the perfect example of the liberal agenda: pitching an emotional agenda with no facts to support it. Oh, liberals love to ignore real data, like recently released earth temperature reading revealing there has been essentially ZERO warming whatsoever since 1998, or that other planets in our solar system have seen warming (which, call 'em crazy, but some say could be related to the fact our sun varies widely in it's radiation output)Man-made global warming truly is the greatest scam in modern history. For MUCH more of my take on this, please see my essay devoted entirely to the global warming myth. Just scroll down this blog a few entries and look for the title "The sky is falling...and it'll cost ya."

Well I have many more "myths" to debunk, including banning guns makes us safer, negotiating with Iran (i.e. the Obama solution to peace in the middle east) will actually work, and even nuclear power is dangerous. We're just gettin started, but until then, to be continued........

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

A Bedtime Story

No i'm not trying to be an M. Night Shyamalan wannabe, but I do have a little bedtime story of my own. For the past few months the girls and I have had a little tradition where I tell them a bedtime story I usually just make up on the spot after they're all tucked in. I think this all started one night when the girls couldn't agree on a book for me to read to them. I finally gave up and decided to tell my own story. They really look forward to it and it's been alot of fun seeing their eyes so big with their imaginations going a mile a minute.

The story involves 2 princesses and their constant struggle to outsmart the mean werewolf. I'm including one of the stories below, and they all begin word for word the same up through the word "werewolf", then the adventure varies from night to night.

One time, there were 2 beautiful little princesses who lived in a castle. They loved playing in their castle, but most of all they loved the yard. It had a big meadow with lots of flowers, a waterfall, a giant trampoline, a waterslide, and a pool. They loved playing all throughout the yard, and they knew they could play anywhere except the forbidden place at the edge of the yard (Andie & Emma usually chime in on this part).......dark forest! Because in dark forest lived (again they chime in)....the werewolf.
The princesses were so excited because today was their birthday party. They couldn't wait for the cake, and presents, and seeing all their friends, but most of all they were so excited because a magic balloon maker was coming! When she finally came, the magic balloon maker gathered all the children around. One boy at the party asked for a balloon tiger! The balloon maker smiled as she began blowing up the balloon (I make a sound effect and action of blowing it up). As she handed the tiger to the friend, it instantly came to life, roaring and running around the yard. Another friend asked for a butterfly, and when the balloon maker handed the girl her balloon, it started fluttering it's wings and flying way up in the air. When it came back close to the ground, the girl jumped on it and it carried her up in the sky! She was having so much fun, she laughed and waved to all her friends below. She didn't realize though, that the butterfly was starting to carry her over the dark forest. The princesses stopped smiling, they knew their friend was in trouble. The werewolf would be waiting for their friend on the butterfly! The girls thought and thought...and then they got an idea. They ran over and wispered something in the magic balloon maker's ear. The balloon maker nodded and got right to work.
Meanwhile, the friend on the butterfly started to get scared because her butterfly was getting tired. She was flying lower and lower, and soon she was all the way down to the ground inside dark forest! She even got more afraid when she heard a growl coming from the shadows. It was the werewolf! She screamed as the werewolf crept closer and closer. "Ha Ha said the werewolf, now i've got you and i'm going to eat you." Just then, the princess girls came running into the forest on a big horse. "Wait werewolf" they said. "If you give us our friend back, you can eat our horse instead." The werewolf licked his lips, the horse was bigger and tastier than the little girl, so he said "fine. " The girls got off the horse and ran over to their friend. As the werewolf crept closer to the tasty horse, he forgot all about the 3 girls. "This will be way better anyway, then i'll just eat the girls after." It took him several minutes to sneak up on the horse, but finally he grabbed it. He smiled as he opened his mouth really big, but as he went to take a big bite, he heard a big pop. It was a balloon! He roared with anger, but it was too late, the princessses and their friend had already run back home! The werewolf would go hungry tonight, but not the girls...they had some birthday cake to eat!

So girls, if you're reading this when you're teenagers, you know there was one time in your life that Dad had something interesting to say! I'll enjoy it while it lasts!

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Guam...the cliffnotes.

Tomorrow is a big day here on the island of Guam. There'll be a big parade, pretty much everyone has the day off, and it's all to celebrate a great day in our nation's history....liberation day! During WWII, the Japanese occupied this island from late 1941 until July 21, 1944 when the Americans invaded and liberated the island. I have spoken with many locals who were small children at the time, and they truly went through some pretty horrible times under Japanese rule. It's really interesting living on base surrounded by former battlefields and rich war history.
There's a whole lot more to this island and the people than war history though. After almost a year of living here, I wanted to summarize our experience on the tiny island in the pacific. Guam has about 140,000 people who live mostly in small villages scattered around the island. There is no real "downtown", and the villages are usually rather simple. No freeway, wal-mart or circuit city stores here, few American chain restaurants, just simple markets and shops. There is a main tourist area called Tumon Bay, sort of the Waikeekee beach of Guam. At the north tip of the island sits the Air Force Base, and our Navy base lies 1/2 way down the west coast. In fact, about a mile from our home is the westernmost tip of Guam, which is also the westernmost tip of the whole USA. The island has many thick jungles and warm, clear water great for snorkeling and scuba diving. The year has a wet and dry season, about 6 months each, and they earn their names!
The people here are great. They have their faults, but overall they are a very kind, friendly, patient people who seem to enjoy having us (meaning the military and just Stateside americans in general) living here. In fact just today a local patient of mine brought a huge bag of avacados and mangos fresh from his tree into the clinic. They are a giving people. They also serve in the miliatary at quite a high rate, in fact I treat local famlies all the time who have a husband/father deployed. They know how to make great food, their BBQ and fish is outstanding. They have some really neat traditions, like night spear-fishing, which locals in our branch have invited us to participate in more than once. They are a laid back people which can sometimes test our patience, but I think that's been a good thing. There are less flattering things here too. Alcoholism and unemployment is rampant here, especially among the male population. Teen pregnancy is also a big problem, and it's not uncommon to see a woman in her late 20's with 4 or so kids with 4 different men who never married. I don't know how many times i've seen a female patient in clinic who is my age and has a 16 yr old child. If there was ever evidence that government welfare programs do more harm than good....it's here. They have govt. subsidized housing here called Ghura housing, which is obviously income dependent. The more you make, the more rent you pay. Many residents there make no effort at all to find a job cause that would mean the food stamps and free housing go away. And to get an idea how many are on food stamps, just try going by a grocery store at the start of the month....mind boggling. Many of the youth grow up here learning that living off the government is just the way it is, so the cycle is not likely to be broken soon. I don't mean to imply they're a lazy society. As a whole they are hard working people who love their families and seem to find great joy in life.
The church has 3 branches here. Talisay has alot of great people. It's been a great experience even if we have a little heavier calling load than the average ward in the states (although a cake walk compared to Virginia Beach). We have also made some great friends. The Copelands are practically family, and the Bunch's, Casons, and Monsons have been a blessing in our lives. We have really enjoyed our time here and look forward to the next 2 years.
(visit the family blogsite for pictures/details.)